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Ultimate 2022 World Cup Fantasy Cheat Sheet

The World Cup fantasy game is live ahead of the big kick-off Sunday, November 20.

With 32 countries competing for the ultimate prize in football, there are a lot of players to choose from.

This means there’s a lot to learn in a short space of time! We have you covered, though.

So, we’re sharing every country’s chance of winning the World Cup, a detailed fixture difficulty table, and their win/clean sheet odds in each of their three group-stage games!

If you haven’t looked into the game in detail, you’ll want to check out our World Cup fantasy captain guide. Understanding this is imperative!

Contents:

World Cup Winner Odds

The country with the highest chance of winning the World Cup is a fantastic indicator of who the best team in the competition is.

Logically, you should target players from these teams.

Here are the World Cup favourites:

CountryChance of Winning World CupPre-Tournament
Brazil30%22%
Argentina17%14%
France15%10%
Spain13%9%
England10%9%
GermanyOUT8%
Netherlands4%7%
Portugal7%6%
BelgiumOUT5%
DenmarkOUT3%
Croatia2%2%
UruguayOUT2%
Senegal<1%1%
SerbiaOUT<1%
Switzerland1%<1%
MexicoOUT<1%
Poland<1%<1%
EcuadorOUT<1%
USA1%<1%
WalesOUT<1%
CameroonOUT<1%
QatarOUT<1%
GhanaOUT<1%
Morocco1%<1%
Japan1%<1%
South Korea<1%<1%
CanadaOUT<1%
Australia<1%<1%
IranOUT<1%
TunisiaOUT<1%
Saudi ArabiaOUT<1%
Costa RicaOUT<1%

Brazil are the favourites to win the 2022 World Cup, with a 30% chance of doing so.

They are followed by Argentina (17%), France (15%), and Spain (13%).

Check out our World Cup top scorer odds, too.

Fixture Difficulty Table

Our World Cup fixture difficulty rating (FDR) uses precise odds which is why we can use a colour scale as opposed to fixed colours.

This makes it more accurate than traditional fixture difficulty tables.

Green indicates an easier fixture whereas red is the most difficult.

MD1 Fixtures

Here are the chances of each country winning (and drawing) their World Cup MD1 matches:

FixtureHome %Draw %Away %Winner
Qatar vs Ecuador26%28%46%Ecuador
England vs Iran76%17%7%England
Senegal vs Netherlands18%26%60%Netherlands
USA vs Wales37%30%33%Draw
Argentina vs Saudi Arabia85%11%4%Saudi Arabia
Denmark vs Tunisia69%21%10%Draw
Mexico vs Poland34%32%34%Draw
France vs Australia80%13%7%France
Morocco vs Croatia20%28%52%Draw
Germany vs Japan69%19%12%Japan
Spain vs Costa Rica82%13%5%Spain
Belgium vs Canada73%16%11%Belgium
Switzerland vs Cameroon55%27%18%Switzerland
Uruguay vs South Korea55%26%19%Draw
Portugal vs Ghana66%23%11%Portugal
Brazil vs Serbia68%19%13%Brazil

MD2 Fixtures

Here are the chances of each country winning (and drawing) their World Cup MD2 matches:

FixtureHome %Draw %Away %Winner
Wales vs Iran45%28%27%Iran
Qatar vs Senegal16%24%60%Senegal
Netherlands vs Ecuador58%23%19%Draw
England vs USA61%24%15%Draw
Tunisia vs Australia45%29%26%Australia
Poland vs Saudi Arabia59%23%18%Poland
France vs Denmark54%26%20%France
Argentina vs Mexico62%23%15%Argentina
Japan vs Costa Rica67%23%10%Costa Rica
Belgium vs Morocco52%26%22%Morocco
Croatia vs Canada46%28%26%Croatia
Spain vs Germany41%27%32%Draw
Cameroon vs Serbia17%27%56%Draw
South Korea vs Ghana37%30%33%Ghana
Brazil vs Switzerland69%19%12%Brazil
Portugal vs Uruguay49%28%23%Portugal

MD3 Fixtures

Here are the chances of each country winning (and drawing) their World Cup MD3 matches:

FixtureHome %Draw %Away %Winner
Ecuador vs Senegal40%30%30%Senegal
Netherlands vs Qatar81%13%6%Netherlands
Iran vs USA23%28%49%USA
Wales vs England12%21%67%England
Australia vs Denmark14%21%65%Australia
Tunisia vs France13%22%65%Tunisia
Poland vs Argentina13%21%66%Argentina
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico20%21%59%Mexico
Canada vs Morocco27%29%46%Morocco
Croatia vs Belgium36%28%36%Draw
Costa Rica vs Germany3%8%89%Germany
Japan vs Spain11%20%69%Japan
Ghana vs Uruguay18%24%58%Uruguay
South Korea vs Portugal17%23%60%South Korea
Cameroon vs Brazil8%16%78%Cameroon
Serbia vs Switzerland40%27%33%Switzerland

MD4 Fixtures

Here are the chances of each country qualifying from the last 16 (MD4):

FixtureHome Qualify %Away Qualify %
Netherlands vs USA66%34%
Argentina vs Australia91%9%
France vs Poland88%12%
England vs Senegal81%19%
Japan vs Croatia38%62%
Brazil vs South Korea89%11%
Morocco vs Spain19%81%
Portugal vs Switzerland68%32%

Argentina are the team most likely to reach the 2022 World Cup quarter-finals (91%).

Brazil and France are just behind them at 89% and 88% respectively.

The closest last 16 tie according to the odds is Japan vs Croatia.

World Cup Clean Sheet Odds

Here are the chances of every country keeping a clean sheet in World Cup fantasy MD4.

These percent chances are based on 90 minutes only.

CountryMD3 CS%
Argentina65%
Australia10%
Brazil60%
Croatia42%
England57%
France60%
Japan27%
Morocco18%
Netherlands46%
Poland13%
Portugal44%
Senegal20%
South Korea11%
Spain52%
Switzerland25%
USA27%

Argentina, Brazil, and France have the best chance of keeping a clean sheet in World Cup fantasy MD4.

Goalscorer Odds

Here are the goalscorer odds and chances of those players starting for World Cup MD4 (selected):

If you want to know the predicted starting 11s and each player’s % chance of starting, check out our World Cup team news.

PlayerTeamChances of Scoring (%)Chance of Starting (%)
Lionel MessiArgentina52%95%
Kylian MbappeFrance49%95%
Julian AlvarezArgentina39%60%
Lautaro MartinezArgentina38%45%
Alvaro MorataSpain37%40%
Olivier GiroudFrance36%95%
RicharlisonBrazil35%90%
Cristiano RonaldoPortugal33%80%
Harry KaneEngland32%95%
Ferran TorresSpain32%80%
Memphis DepayNetherlands31%70%
Vinicius JuniorBrazil31%90%
Marcus RashfordEngland29%40%
RaphinhaBrazil28%90%
Marco AsensioSpain27%70%
Antoine GriezmannFrance26%90%
Andrej KramaricCroatia26%80%
Dani OlmoSpain25%80%
Angel Di MariaArgentina23%90%
Bruno FernandesPortugal23%90%
Cody GakpoNetherlands22%90%

Lionel Messi is the favourite to score in World Cup fantasy MD4 at 52%. Kylian Mbappe follows at 49%.

Meanwhile, popular World Cup fantasy forwards Harry Kane and Cristiano Ronaldo are at 33% and 32% respectively.