The World Cup fantasy game is live ahead of the big kick-off Sunday, November 20.
With 32 countries competing for the ultimate prize in football, there are a lot of players to choose from.
This means there’s a lot to learn in a short space of time! We have you covered, though.
So, we’re sharing every country’s chance of winning the World Cup, a detailed fixture difficulty table, and their win/clean sheet odds in each of their three group-stage games!
If you haven’t looked into the game in detail, you’ll want to check out our World Cup fantasy captain guide. Understanding this is imperative!
Contents:
- World Cup Winner Odds
- MD1 Fixture Odds
- MD2 Fixture Odds
- MD3 Fixture Odds
- MD4 Fixture Odds
- Clean Sheet Odds
- Goalscorer Odds
World Cup Winner Odds
The country with the highest chance of winning the World Cup is a fantastic indicator of who the best team in the competition is.
Logically, you should target players from these teams.
Here are the World Cup favourites:
| Country | Chance of Winning World Cup | Pre-Tournament |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil | OUT | 22% |
| France | 49% | 10% |
| Argentina | 51% | 14% |
| Spain | OUT | 9% |
| England | OUT | 9% |
| Germany | OUT | 8% |
| Netherlands | OUT | 7% |
| Portugal | OUT | 6% |
| Belgium | OUT | 5% |
| Denmark | OUT | 3% |
| Croatia | OUT | 2% |
| Uruguay | OUT | 2% |
| Senegal | OUT | 1% |
| Serbia | OUT | <1% |
| Switzerland | OUT | <1% |
| Mexico | OUT | <1% |
| Poland | OUT | <1% |
| Ecuador | OUT | <1% |
| USA | OUT | <1% |
| Wales | OUT | <1% |
| Cameroon | OUT | <1% |
| Qatar | OUT | <1% |
| Ghana | OUT | <1% |
| Morocco | OUT | <1% |
| Japan | OUT | <1% |
| South Korea | OUT | <1% |
| Canada | OUT | <1% |
| Australia | OUT | <1% |
| Iran | OUT | <1% |
| Tunisia | OUT | <1% |
| Saudi Arabia | OUT | <1% |
| Costa Rica | OUT | <1% |
MD1 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country winning (and drawing) their World Cup MD1 matches:
| Fixture | Home % | Draw % | Away % | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar vs Ecuador | 26% | 28% | 46% | Ecuador |
| England vs Iran | 76% | 17% | 7% | England |
| Senegal vs Netherlands | 18% | 26% | 60% | Netherlands |
| USA vs Wales | 37% | 30% | 33% | Draw |
| Argentina vs Saudi Arabia | 85% | 11% | 4% | Saudi Arabia |
| Denmark vs Tunisia | 69% | 21% | 10% | Draw |
| Mexico vs Poland | 34% | 32% | 34% | Draw |
| France vs Australia | 80% | 13% | 7% | France |
| Morocco vs Croatia | 20% | 28% | 52% | Draw |
| Germany vs Japan | 69% | 19% | 12% | Japan |
| Spain vs Costa Rica | 82% | 13% | 5% | Spain |
| Belgium vs Canada | 73% | 16% | 11% | Belgium |
| Switzerland vs Cameroon | 55% | 27% | 18% | Switzerland |
| Uruguay vs South Korea | 55% | 26% | 19% | Draw |
| Portugal vs Ghana | 66% | 23% | 11% | Portugal |
| Brazil vs Serbia | 68% | 19% | 13% | Brazil |
MD2 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country winning (and drawing) their World Cup MD2 matches:
| Fixture | Home % | Draw % | Away % | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales vs Iran | 45% | 28% | 27% | Iran |
| Qatar vs Senegal | 16% | 24% | 60% | Senegal |
| Netherlands vs Ecuador | 58% | 23% | 19% | Draw |
| England vs USA | 61% | 24% | 15% | Draw |
| Tunisia vs Australia | 45% | 29% | 26% | Australia |
| Poland vs Saudi Arabia | 59% | 23% | 18% | Poland |
| France vs Denmark | 54% | 26% | 20% | France |
| Argentina vs Mexico | 62% | 23% | 15% | Argentina |
| Japan vs Costa Rica | 67% | 23% | 10% | Costa Rica |
| Belgium vs Morocco | 52% | 26% | 22% | Morocco |
| Croatia vs Canada | 46% | 28% | 26% | Croatia |
| Spain vs Germany | 41% | 27% | 32% | Draw |
| Cameroon vs Serbia | 17% | 27% | 56% | Draw |
| South Korea vs Ghana | 37% | 30% | 33% | Ghana |
| Brazil vs Switzerland | 69% | 19% | 12% | Brazil |
| Portugal vs Uruguay | 49% | 28% | 23% | Portugal |
MD3 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country winning (and drawing) their World Cup MD3 matches:
| Fixture | Home % | Draw % | Away % | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs Senegal | 40% | 30% | 30% | Senegal |
| Netherlands vs Qatar | 81% | 13% | 6% | Netherlands |
| Iran vs USA | 23% | 28% | 49% | USA |
| Wales vs England | 12% | 21% | 67% | England |
| Australia vs Denmark | 14% | 21% | 65% | Australia |
| Tunisia vs France | 13% | 22% | 65% | Tunisia |
| Poland vs Argentina | 13% | 21% | 66% | Argentina |
| Saudi Arabia vs Mexico | 20% | 21% | 59% | Mexico |
| Canada vs Morocco | 27% | 29% | 46% | Morocco |
| Croatia vs Belgium | 36% | 28% | 36% | Draw |
| Costa Rica vs Germany | 3% | 8% | 89% | Germany |
| Japan vs Spain | 11% | 20% | 69% | Japan |
| Ghana vs Uruguay | 18% | 24% | 58% | Uruguay |
| South Korea vs Portugal | 17% | 23% | 60% | South Korea |
| Cameroon vs Brazil | 8% | 16% | 78% | Cameroon |
| Serbia vs Switzerland | 40% | 27% | 33% | Switzerland |
MD4 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country qualifying from the last 16 (MD4):
| Fixture | Home Qualify % | Away Qualify % | Qualified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs USA | 66% | 34% | Netherlands |
| Argentina vs Australia | 91% | 9% | Argentina |
| France vs Poland | 88% | 12% | France |
| England vs Senegal | 81% | 19% | England |
| Japan vs Croatia | 38% | 62% | Croatia |
| Brazil vs South Korea | 89% | 11% | Brazil |
| Morocco vs Spain | 19% | 81% | Morocco |
| Portugal vs Switzerland | 68% | 32% | Portugal |
MD5 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country qualifying from the quarter-finals (MD5):
| Fixture | Home Qualify % | Away Qualify % | Qualified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia vs Brazil | 16% | 84% | Croatia |
| Netherlands vs Argentina | 41% | 59% | Argentina |
| Morocco vs Portugal | 26% | 74% | Morocco |
| England vs France | 45% | 55% | France |
MD6 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country reaching the World Cup final (MD6):
| Fixture | Home Qualify % | Away Qualify % | Qualified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs Croatia | 71% | 29% | Argentina |
| France vs Morocco | 79% | 21% | France |
MD7 Fixtures
Here are the chances of each country winning in MD7:
| Fixture | Home Win % | Away Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia vs Morocco | 59% | 41% |
| Argentina vs France | 51% | 49% |
World Cup Clean Sheet Odds
Here are the chances of every country keeping a clean sheet in World Cup fantasy MD7.
These percent chances are based on 90 minutes only.
| Country | MD3 CS% |
|---|---|
| France | 33% |
| Argentina | 33% |
| Croatia | 29% |
| Morocco | 23% |
Goalscorer Odds
Here are the goalscorer odds and chances of those players starting for World Cup MD6 (selected):
If you want to know the predicted starting 11s and each player’s % chance of starting, check out our World Cup team news.
| Player | Team | Chances of Scoring (%) | Chance of Starting (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | Argentina | 36% | 95% |
| Kylian Mbappe | France | 33% | 90% |
| Andrej Kramaric | Croatia | 30% | 60% |
| Bruno Petkovic | Croatia | 28% | 50% |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | Morocco | 26% | 80% |
| Ivan Perisic | Croatia | 26% | 50% |
| Olivier Giroud | France | 25% | 90% |
| Marko Livaja | Croatia | 25% | 30% |
| Julian Alvarez | Argentina | 24% | 90% |
| Hakim Ziyech | Morocco | 22% | 80% |
| Mario Pasalic | Croatia | 20% | 50% |
| Luka Modric | Croatia | 20% | 80% |
| Mislav Orsic | Croatia | 20% | 30% |
| Lovro Majer | Croatia | 20% | 60% |
| Sofiane Boufal | Morocco | 19% | 90% |
| Antoine Griezmann | France | 13% | 90% |
| Angel Di Maria | Argentina | 10% | 90% |
| Enzo Fernandez | Argentina | 10% | 50% |
| Ousmane Dembele | France | 9% | 90% |
| Rodrigo De Paul | Argentina | 9% | 90% |
| Alexis Mac Allister | Argentina | 9% | 80% |