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FPL Cheat Sheet GW38 – Win Odds, More

There’s so much more to Fantasy Premier League than blindly picking the best players. A player’s fixture plays an integral role in determining whether he should start, or even be transferred in.

Sometimes a budget player at home to a relegation threatened team is better than mid-priced midfielder away to Man City.

Not all difficult (or easy) fixtures are obvious though. That’s why we have created this FPL Cheat Sheet which will clearly show you which teams, and therefore players, have the most appealing fixtures.

Premier League Odds

For a table showing the most likely goalscorers this Gameweek (sorted by percentage) visit our Best Captain Picks page.

Table Last Updated: May 16 2022

FixtureHome Win %Away Win %Home Clean Sheet %Away Clean Sheet %Most Likely Anytime Goalscorer
Arsenal vs Everton64%15%40%13%Nketiah
Brentford vs Leeds42%32%26%21%Toney
Brighton vs West Ham38%35%27%26%Maupay
Burnley vs Newcastle41%32%33%27%Weghorst
Chelsea vs Watford85%4%60%7%Lukaku
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd32%42%22%29%Ronaldo
Leicester vs Southampton50%26%29%18%Vardy
Liverpool vs Wolves82%5%56%8%Salah
Man City vs Aston Villa83%5%55%7%Mahrez
Norwich vs Tottenham7%80%8%52%Kane

The above table shows the following:

  • Fixture
  • Home win odds
  • Away win odds
  • Home clean sheet odds
  • Away clean sheet odds
  • Fixture’s most likely anytime goalscorer

The table is sorted by fixture – earliest to kick off at the top. For an ordered list of teams most likely to keep a clean sheet, and additional analysis of players, check out our Premier League Clean Sheet Odds page.

All of the data in our Fantasy Premier League Cheat Sheet is obtained via official odds.

Chances of Starting

The most likely anytime goalscorer doesn’t take into account that players chances of starting. Our Fantasy Premier League Team News shows the percentage chance of every player starting, alongside each team’s predicted starting 11.

However, prices are often still offered for players we know aren’t going to start. As a result, we exclude them from the cheat sheet.

Conversely though, if a player has a chance of starting, but is far from certain to do so, they are still included.

For example Man City are renowned for rotating, so naturally their players have less chance of starting than other team’s players. This doesn’t affect his anytime goalscorer odds because they are based on the assumption that player will start.