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FPL Cheat Sheet GW4 – Win Odds, More

There’s so much more to Fantasy Premier League than blindly picking the best players. A player’s fixture plays an integral role in determining whether he should start, or even be transferred in.

Sometimes a budget player at home to a relegation-threatened team is better than a mid-priced midfielder away to Man City.

Not all difficult (or easy) fixtures are obvious though. That’s why we have created this FPL Cheat Sheet which will clearly show you which teams, and therefore players, have the most appealing fixtures.

Premier League Odds

For a table showing the most likely goalscorers this Gameweek (sorted by percentage) visit our Best Captain Picks page.

Table Last Updated: August 26 2022

FixtureHome Win %Away Win %Home Clean Sheet %Away Clean Sheet %Most Likely Anytime Goalscorer
Southampton vs Man Utd23%54%15%33%Ronaldo
Brentford vs Everton48%26%38%24%Toney
Brighton vs Leeds51%24%37%20%Welbeck
Chelsea vs Leicester69%12%47%12%Sterling
Liverpool vs Bournemouth87%3%63%6%Salah
Man City vs Crystal Palace83%5%55%7%Haaland
Arsenal vs Fulham74%9%49%9%Jesus
Aston Villa vs West Ham42%31%31%24%Watkins
Wolves vs Newcastle36%35%31%31%Wood
Notts Forest vs Tottenham14%67%14%47%Kane

The above table shows the following:

  • Fixture
  • Home win odds
  • Away win odds
  • Home clean sheet odds
  • Away clean sheet odds
  • Fixture’s most likely anytime goalscorer

The table is sorted by fixture – earliest to kick off at the top. For an ordered list of teams most likely to keep a clean sheet, and additional analysis of players, check out our Premier League Clean Sheet Odds page.

All of the data in our Fantasy Premier League Cheat Sheet is obtained via official odds.

Chances of Starting

The most likely anytime goalscorer doesn’t take into account that players chances of starting. Our Fantasy Premier League Team News shows the percentage chance of every player starting, alongside each team’s predicted starting 11.

However, prices are often still offered for players we know aren’t going to start. As a result, we exclude them from the cheat sheet.

Conversely though, if a player has a chance of starting, but is far from certain to do so, they are still included.

Read More: FREE Weekly FPL Point Projections

For example Man City are renowned for rotating, so naturally their players have less chance of starting than other team’s players. This doesn’t affect his anytime goalscorer odds because they are based on the assumption that player will start.