As Gameweek 11 approaches, we are now more than a quarter of the way through the 2020/21 Premier League season. Fantasy Premier League fans now have a good idea of this season’s title contenders and those sides who may find themselves in a relegation scrap.
What we did see last week is that Manchester City’s high scoring form could be back. If that’s the case, Fantasy Premier League managers may need to invest in those City stars, if they haven’t already.
As always, we look at each Premier League teams’ percentage chance of winning, getting a clean sheet, the most likely goalscorers and any players that may be flying under the radar.
Gameweek 11 was a dealt an early curve ball when it was confirmed that the Aston Villa Newcastle fixture will be postponed. As of writing this has yet to be rearranged.
This is a big deal for FPL managers as the likes of Grealish, Watkins and Wilson – just to name a few – are popular picks. Managers that have three or four Aston Villa and Newcastle players will struggle to field a team in Gameweek 11 and may have to accept their likely fate of a poor Gameweek. Others will only have one or two of these assets and can probably leave them be on the bench.
FPL Gameweek 10 overview!
📊 Average points: 44
📈 Highest points: 117
😎 Most picked: Calvert-Lewin
©️ Most captained: Vardy
⭐️ Most points: Mahrez, 21 pic.twitter.com/bquCWTHxKb
— FPL Fantasy Football Pundit (@FantasyFPundit) December 1, 2020
Burnley vs Everton
- Home Win: 23%
- Draw: 27%
- Away Win: 50%
Everton seem to have lost that sharp form which they showed at the start of the season. The Toffees lost 1-0 against Leeds United last week, which is their fourth defeat in their last five Premier League games. Defensively, Everton are letting their opponents take a lot of chances as they allowed 23 efforts against them last week. Despite the loss, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is still the league’s top goalscorer.
Burnley took their routine hammering away at Manchester City last week to keep them in the bottom three. The 5-0 defeat was warranted as Burnley looked very shaky at the back without regular goalkeeper, Nick Pope. The England International has a 75% chance of playing this week. Naturally Everton will be expecting to regain some momentum at Turf Moor as they are 50% to win the match.
Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin 42%
- Home: 23%
- Away: 38%
Differential Pick: Richarlison 33% to score, 4.4% ownership (£7.8m)
Man City vs Fulham
- Home Win: 88%
- Draw: 9%
- Away Win: 3%
After just four goals in their previous five fixtures, Manchester City finally appear to have found their shooting boots as they won 5-0 against Burnley last week. Although they won by a large margin, The Citizens could have been more clinical. They took 19 shots but only managed to get six on target. Kevin De Bruyne was outstanding as always and added two more assists to his ever-growing record.
Fulham have put in much improved performances in recent weeks and have been unlucky not to come away with more points. That changed as they beat Leicester City 2-1 away from home. They looked much stronger defensively and played on the counterattack to unleash Ademola Lookman, who picked up his second goal of the season. We will wait and see if The Cottagers can keep out Man City, who are notoriously good at breaking down stubborn defences.
Goalscorer: Sergio Aguero 65%
- Home: 56%
- Away: 5%
Differential Pick: Raheem Sterling 55% to score, 4.4% ownership (£11.4m)
West Ham vs Man Utd
- Home Win: 26%
- Draw: 26%
- Away Win: 48%
West Ham United were somewhat lucky to come away with a 2-1 win against Aston Villa. For most of the game they were outplayed and struggled to stop Jack Grealish and co. What The Hammers did well though was take their chances, as both of their shots on target found the back of the net.
Manchester United visit West Ham in Gameweek 11 and this comes after their outstanding comeback away at Southampton last week. The Red Devils were 2-0 down at half time before Bruno Fernandes and Edinson Cavani lead them to their fourth away win out of four. What we have seen so far this season is that Fernandes performs best away from home. The Midfield maestro has five goals and four assists on the road this season.
Goalscorer: Edinson Cavani 39%
- Home: 20%
- Away: 31%
Differential Pick: Marcus Rashford 35% to score, 6.7% ownership (£9.5m)
Chelsea vs Leeds
- Home Win: 64%
- Draw: 21%
- Away Win: 15%
Chelsea claimed their fifth clean sheet of the season in their goalless draw with Tottenham last week. The eagerly anticipated game fizzled out as the game progressed, when it felt like not losing the game became the priority for both teams. It does mean that Chelsea’s new goalkeeper, Edouard Mendy, has still only conceded one Premier League goal since he joined the club.
The Blues will host Leeds United in Gameweek 11 and keeping a clean sheet this time round, could be tough. The dangerous and dynamic Leeds beat Everton 1-0 last week and it could have been more, if they were more ruthless in attack. After taking 23 shots, they only managed 7 on target.
Goalscorer: Timo Werner 49%
- Home: 36%
- Away: 13%
Differential Pick: Tammy Abraham 44% to score, 2.8% ownership (£7.2m)
West Brom vs Crystal Palace
- Home Win: 33%
- Draw: 30%
- Away Win: 37%
Crystal Palace talisman, Zaha, missed out again due to self isolation. This led to a predictable result for Palace because without Zaha, they struggle to score, usually resulting in a loss. It was two late goals from Newcastle that buried them this time. The Eagles will hope to have the green light to bring Zaha back into the starting XI, ahead of their very winnable Gameweek 11 fixture.
- See More: FPL Player Stats – Live Data
Meanwhile, the Baggies picked up their first win of the season in a bottom of the league showdown between them and Sheffield United. With 39 shots being taken between them, we saw the two sides desperately going toe-to-toe for the three points. It was Conor Gallagher’s effort which helped West Brom come out on top.
Goalscorer: Karlan Grant 33%
- Home: 31%
- Away: 33%
Differential Pick: Patrick Van Aanholt 33% Clean Sheet, 1.0% ownership (£5.4m)
Sheff Utd vs Leicester
- Home Win: 24%
- Draw: 28%
- Away Win: 48%
Leicester City will be hoping to bounce back after suffering a shock defeat to Fulham on Monday night. The Foxes looked overly confident from the start however they struggled to break down their opponents and let themselves down defensively on the counterattack. The result also meant Jamie Vardy has only scored one goal at home this season. However, Vardy’s away form has been excellent so far with seven goals and two assists out of five games.
Sheffield United are looking lost this season and one of their biggest chances for a first win of the season came and went in another defeat last week. The Blades couldn’t find the back of the net and fell to a 1-0 defeat. They still only have four goals this season which is the joint lowest. We know Sheffield Wednesday fan, Jamie Vardy, will be eager to add to their woes.
Goalscorer: Jamie Vardy 51%
- Home: 22%
- Away: 33%
Differential Pick: Wesley Fofana 33% Clean Sheet, 0.6% ownership (£5.0m)
Tottenham vs Arsenal
- Home Win: 50%
- Draw: 25%
- Away Win: 25%
Tottenham picked up a good point away at free-scoring Chelsea last week and earned a clean sheet in the process. The goalless draw kept them top of the league and once again showed manager, Jose Mourinho’s, managerial skills to keep a top opponent from finding the back of the net.
In Gameweek 11, Tottenham face Arsenal in the North London derby. As it stands, Spurs are eight points clear of The Gunners and are in much better form. Arsenal lost their last game 2-1 at home to Wolves and they appear to be running out of ideas in attack. With just two shots on target in the game, Arsenal may not be much of a worry to Jose Mourinho’s Tottenham.
Premier League fans will know that in a derby game, form can go out of the window. If we look at the head to head record, two of the last three North London derbies have ended in a draw, with Tottenham winning the other.
Goalscorer: Harry Kane 47%
- Home: 35%
- Away: 22%
Differential Pick: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 35% to score, 10.6% ownership (£11.6m)
Liverpool vs Wolves
- Home Win: 64%
- Draw: 23%
- Away Win: 13%
Liverpool were left frustrated in their 1-1 draw away at Brighton, which manager Jurgen Klopp made very clear at the end of the game. The frustrations were aimed at their schedule and the injury troubles it is bringing them. This was backed up as, ever-reliable, James Milner was taken off injured in the game. One positive for The Reds was new signing, Diogo Jota, netting his fifth Premier League goal in eight appearances.
Wolves go to Anfield this week to take on Liverpool after they grinded out a 2-1 victory against Arsenal last week. The win was overshadowed by a head-injury to Wolves’, Raul Jimenez, following a collision with Arsenal’s David Luiz. The injury is unfortunately likely to see the Mexican striker side-lined for some time as he recovers. We will see this week how they cope without Jimenez’s top-class performances, when he’s leading the line.
Goalscorer: Mo Salah 47%
- Home: 44%
- Away: 15%
Differential Pick: Neco Williams 44% Clean Sheet, 4.1% ownership (£3.9m)
Brghton vs Southampton
- Home Win: 38%
- Draw: 28%
- Away Win: 34%
Brighton picked up a point against Liverpool last week, thanks to a controversial 93rd minute penalty which was converted by Brighton’s Pascal Gross. This was their second penalty of the game after Neal Maupay missed the target on his, before leaving the field injured. The Eagles put in a good performance and deserved the 1-1 draw, as they beat the champions for efforts on target in the game.
Southampton ended last week with their own injury-time drama when they let a 2-0 lead slip in the second half to lose 3-2 against Man United. It was a strong opening to the game for The Saints, but they couldn’t keep out United’s quality to earn anything from the game. Captain, James Ward-Prowse, picked up another goal and an assist to continue his great form. This made it four goals and two assists in the last five games for Southampton.
Goalscorer: Neal Maupay 33%
- Home: 29%
- Away: 29%
Differential Pick: Che Adams 23% to score, 5.4% ownership (£5.9m)