Like all fantasy football games, UCL Fantasy is all about picking the best players. Who those best players are often depends on the Champions League fixtures on a given Matchday.
With 16 fixtures in each group stage Matchday it can be difficult to know who the most likely winners are and by how much of a margin.
Read More: Differences Between FPL and UCL Fantasy
UCL Fantasy MD1 Cheat Sheet
That’s why we have created the below UCL Fantasy cheat sheet. It shows the following for every Champions League fixture:
Page Last Updated: 19 September 2023
Champions League Win Odds – Match
The most likely winner in Champions League MD1 is Man City, Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Benfica.
| Fixture | Home Win % | Draw Odds % | Away Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan vs Newcastle | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Youngs Boys vs Leipzig | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Lazio vs Atletico Madrid | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Feyenoord vs Celtic | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Barcelona vs Antwerp | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs Porto | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Man City vs Crvena Zvezda | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| PSG vs Dortmund | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Galatasaray vs Copenhagen | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Real Madrid vs Union Berlin | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Arsenal vs PSV | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Benfica vs Salzburg | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Real Sociedad vs Inter | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Braga vs Napoli | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Sevilla vs Lens | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Bayern Munich vs Man Utd | 63% | 20% | 17% |
Champions League Clean Sheet Odds
The teams most likely to keep a clean sheet in UCL Fantasy MD1 are Man City, Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Benfica.
| Team | Clean Sheet Odds (%) |
|---|---|
| Man City | 64% |
| Barcelona | 52% |
| Real Madrid | 50% |
| Benfica | 44% |
| Arsenal | 42% |
| Galatasaray | 42% |
| Feyenoord | 39% |
| Sevilla | 38% |
| Bayern Munich | 36% |
| Leipzig | 36% |
| Porto | 36% |
| Napoli | 35% |
| Inter Milan | 32% |
| Atletico Madrid | 32% |
| AC Milan | 29% |
| Lazio | 29% |
| PSG | 29% |
| Newcastle | 29% |
| Real Sociedad | 28% |
| Lens | 22% |
| Braga | 18% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 17% |
| Copenhagen | 15% |
| Celtic | 14% |
| Dortmund | 14% |
| Union Berlin | 13% |
| Young Boys | 13% |
| Man Utd | 12% |
| Salzburg | 12% |
| PSV | 11% |
| Antwerp | 6% |
| Crvena Zvezda | 3% |
Champions League Goalscorer Odds – Best UCL Fantasy Captain
The table below shows the most likely goalscorers as well as their estimated chance of starting. Each player’s chance of starting will be updated all the way through to the Matchday deadline.
Their percent chance of scoring is based on the assumption that they do start.
Read More: Champions League Fixture Difficulty Table
Naturally, the players listed below will be some of the best Champions League Fantasy players to pick. Therefore, the players at the top of the list will be among the best UCL Fantasy captain options.
Players that are unlikely to start, ie 40% or less, are excluded from the list. We will include them if they are picked by a lot of UCL Fantasy managers, though.
For individual player stats – price, pick percentages, and points – check out our live Champions League player stats.
Elsewhere, if you’re unsure as to when to use the UCL Fantasy chips, check out our best time to use your Limitless Wildcard guide.
| Player | Chance of Scoring % | Chances of Starting % |
|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 78% | 90% |
| Robert Lewandowski | 67% | 90% |
| Kylian Mbappe | 55% | 90% |
| Harry Kane | 55% | 90% |
| Victor Osimhen | 50% | 90% |
| Julian Alvarez | 47% | 80% |
| Mauro Icardi | 46% | 90% |
| Lois Openda | 42% | 100% |
| Rafa Silva | 42% | 90% |
| Joao Felix | 42% | 70% |
| Rodrygo | 40% | 90% |
| Joselu | 39% | 80% |
| Phil Foden | 39% | 70% |
| Gabriel Jesus | 39% | 60% |
| Ferran Torres | 38% | 40% |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | 37% | 70% |
| Goncalo Ramos | 36% | 70% |
| Jeremy Doku | 36% | 70% |
| Eddie Nketiah | 36% | 40% |
| Igor Paixao | 35% | 90% |
| Mehdi Taremi | 35% | 80% |
| Petar Musa | 35% | 70% |
| Bukayo Saka | 33% | 90% |
| Jude Bellingham | 33% | 90% |
| Angel Di Maria | 33% | 80% |
| Lautaro Martinez | 31% | 90% |
| Martin Odegaard | 31% | 90% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 31% | 90% |
| Xavi Simons | 31% | 100% |
| Martin Odegaard | 31% | 90% |
| Olivier Giroud | 31% | 100% |
| Serge Gnabry | 31% | 70% |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 31% | 100% |
| Alvaro Morata | 31% | 50% |
| Ciro Immobile | 30% | 90% |
| Luka Ivanusec | 29% | 90% |
| Rafael Leao | 29% | 90% |
| Leroy Sane | 29% | 80% |
| Leandro Trossard | 29% | 70% |
| Alexander Isak | 29% | 100% |
| Kai Havertz | 29% | 60% |
| Antoine Griezmann | 27% | 90% |
| Marcus Thuram | 27% | 80% |