FPL Price Changes

For 2026/27, FPL has added its own Price Change Predictor to the game. It uses their internal transfer data, refreshes every 15 minutes, and shows a likelihood for each player directly on the Pick Team, Points and Transfers pages.

It is the most accurate source available, for the obvious reason that FPL can see the actual transfer counts and knows its own thresholds. If you want to know whether a player is about to move tonight, check there first — we would rather tell you that than pretend otherwise.

A few things worth knowing about it: prices are locked until the Gameweek 1 deadline, so the predictor only appears once the season is under way. And it indicates likelihood rather than certainty — transfers keep moving right up to the nightly update, so a player at a high percentage can still fall short.

What we keep here is the part it doesn’t cover: a searchable record of every change that has already happened, and the transfer activity behind it.

The prices of players in Fantasy Premier League are important. Essentially, they determine the players you can bring into your FPL team.

Invariably, the best players are the most expensive. There are exceptions to this and it is identifying these supposed bargains that pay dividends in FPL.

While player prices are relatively static — they don’t often change by more than a couple of million — they do frequently change. Prices change daily but each player cannot increase or decrease by more than £0.1m.

Price changes in FPL occur daily at 01:30 GMT.

If there are price changes on a given day, they will be reflected in the price changes table above.

You retain the profit on any positive price changes within your squad — at least some of it.

When you sell a player in FPL, you keep half the profit. If the total profit on a player is an odd increment, i.e. £0.5m, then you’ll keep £0.2m of that as it is rounded down.

Read More: FREE Fantasy Premier League Points Predictor (Updated Ahead of Every Gameweek)

A lot of Fantasy Premier League managers pay close attention to their squad value as this enables you to buy more expensive players as the season progresses.

There is a correlation between high team values and success.

Price changes are determined by the number of managers that pick a particular player.

More specifically, they are determined by a player’s net transfers. A high number of transfers in could increase their price and a high number of transfers out, decrease it.

The exact formula, or threshold, for determining what causes a price change has never been published. FPL’s own predictor works from the inside; everyone else, including us, is reading the transfer market from outside and inferring.

One thing that follows from this: the threshold scales with ownership. A player owned by 0.5% needs far fewer net transfers to move than one owned by 40%, which is why the watch list is ordered by progress toward a change rather than by raw transfer count.

Player prices can change on consecutive days. Generally, they don’t though, unless there is an unusual influx (or outflux) of transfers either way.